Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000807 0.000857 0.000908 0.000964 0.001025 0.001088 0.001158
2025-09-21 0.000727 0.000797 0.000872 0.000958 0.001054 0.001157 0.001278
2025-09-28 0.000667 0.000751 0.000843 0.000952 0.001077 0.001217 0.001386
2025-10-05 0.000609 0.000700 0.000803 0.000927 0.001074 0.001244 0.001455
2025-10-12 0.000570 0.000668 0.000781 0.000920 0.001089 0.001289 0.001544
2025-10-19 0.000541 0.000644 0.000765 0.000918 0.001108 0.001337 0.001638
2025-10-26 0.000518 0.000626 0.000755 0.000921 0.001132 0.001392 0.001740
2025-11-02 0.000490 0.000601 0.000734 0.000910 0.001136 0.001420 0.001808
2025-11-09 0.000461 0.000572 0.000708 0.000889 0.001126 0.001429 0.001851
2025-11-16 0.000441 0.000553 0.000692 0.000880 0.001130 0.001456 0.001917
2025-11-23 0.000426 0.000540 0.000684 0.000882 0.001148 0.001499 0.002007
2025-11-30 0.000411 0.000527 0.000674 0.000879 0.001159 0.001535 0.002087
2025-12-07 0.000396 0.000513 0.000664 0.000877 0.001174 0.001578 0.002184
2025-12-14 0.000378 0.000495 0.000648 0.000866 0.001174 0.001601 0.002252
2025-12-21 0.000362 0.000479 0.000634 0.000857 0.001178 0.001629 0.002329
2025-12-28 0.000342 0.000457 0.000610 0.000834 0.001159 0.001624 0.002357
2026-01-04 0.000330 0.000444 0.000599 0.000828 0.001164 0.001653 0.002436
2026-01-11 0.000319 0.000434 0.000591 0.000826 0.001176 0.001691 0.002531
2026-01-18 0.000311 0.000427 0.000587 0.000828 0.001194 0.001740 0.002645
2026-01-25 0.000300 0.000414 0.000574 0.000818 0.001192 0.001758 0.002710
2026-02-01 0.000286 0.000398 0.000556 0.000800 0.001177 0.001754 0.002738
2026-02-08 0.000277 0.000388 0.000546 0.000792 0.001177 0.001774 0.002807
2026-02-15 0.000270 0.000381 0.000541 0.000793 0.001191 0.001817 0.002917